The German labour market needs, according to a study in the medium and long term, each year at least 260,000 immigrants. The supply of labour will shrink in the face of an ageing society without Migration up to the year 2060 to about 16 million people – almost a third of the massif. A study commissioned by the Bertelsmann Foundation that was published on Tuesday in Gütersloh, Germany, forecast.

significance of immigration from third countries is growing

The immigration from other EU countries will in the future decline in comparison to past years. In Europe’s economy moved closer to power, and quality of life expected to be gradual and the appeal falls to look for a Job in Germany. Consequently, the immigration to non-European third countries have a growing importance. The experts of the Institute for labour market and occupational research and the University of Coburg, who had taken the next four decades emphasized.


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In the year average be of 114,000 additions from the EU countries and 146,000 from third countries, the demography-related decline in the labour force-supply limit on a “sustainable level”. The immigration law should be adopted quickly, called for the Foundation Board of Directors Jörg Dräger. The Federal Cabinet had approved the draft for a skilled-immigration law by the end of 2018.

immigration from other EU countries had failed in the past years, is still strong in 2017 with a net migration of around 250,000 people, according to the study. To the extent that the immigration from the EU would decline, waxes, the demand for immigrants from third countries: by 2035, the German labour market, need a year, almost 98 000, between 2036 and 2050 then every year, almost 170.000 and between 2051 and 2060, finally, nearly 200,000 immigrants from Non-EU countries. The power in the cut from 2018 to 2060 per year 146.000 migrants from third countries.

when “two losers” in Germany

The German economy, threaten in many regions and sectors and a lack of qualified workers. For a Long time already there are calls for the facilitation of the influx. If, for example, by 2025, increasingly the Baby boomers retire, it could worsen the shortage significantly.

immigrants from abroad to work relatively often as a helper or, rarely, specialist, and hardly as a specialist or expert, says the study. An example from 2017: 60,000 persons travelling from Non-EU countries to work, around 23,000 have been without a vocational training. “With regard to the qualifications of the migrants there’s a lot to afford,” the authors write. You’ll leave many people to immigrate, did not fit the open positions, could produce the “two losers”: the immigrant and the company.

Draeger stressed that even if the pension age of 70 introduced or women worked as much as men, the need for skilled workers with domestic funds do not cover. The digitization will need for the labour force – contrary to the frequent assumption – not noticeably lower. It could instead lead to a qualitative shift, with increased demand for expert engineers, Masters, graduates and academics.