a Few days before the state election in Bremen, the CDU, the ruling SPD draws them in the polls.

In Bremen-Trend of the public opinion research Institute Insa for the “image”newspaper (Wednesday) is the oppositional CDU at 28 percent, the SPD mayor Carsten Sieling only at 23 percent. Such a result in the election next Sunday, would be for the SPD, which ruled for 73 years without interruption in the Hanseatic city, a serious disaster. A continuation of the red-green coalition would not be possible. Instead, the CDU could govern, perhaps just with the Green.

According to the survey, the Green would be 18 percent of the strongest force in the third. It is Left with 11 percent and the FDP and the AfD, each with 6 percent. Also at Infratest dimap and forschungsgruppe wahlen, the CDU was last week, front -, however, is scarce: At Infratest 3 percent, in the case of the research group is 1.5 percent.

According to the Insa calculator would be a coalition of the CDU and the SPD, with 51 percent. This has excluded the head of government Sieling, however, recently. For Black-and-Green, it would barely (46 percent). Otherwise, an Alliance of CDU, greens and FDP (52 percent), or Red could be eligible-Red-Green (52 percent). The Greens will therefore have a Central Position in the formation of the government.

In comparison to the election in 2015, the SPD would lose nearly ten percentage points, at the time, the Comrades had reached 32.8 percent. The CDU, with its top candidate Carsten Meyer-Heder could increase by 5.6 points, at the time, it was 22.4 percent. The 58-year-old Software entrepreneur’s only been a year in the CDU. In Bremen, already strong, Green would just put 3 points (2015: 15.1 percent). The Left reached according to the survey, one and a half points more than four years ago. The FDP would lose something (2015: 6.6 per cent), the AfD just to win (2015: 5.5 percent).

Bremen is the smallest German state, and yet the outcome of the elections could have implications for Federal policy. The SPD moves heavy losses in the European elections in their country of origin, Bremen, could bring the Federal government a top party leader Andrea Nahles in severe distress. The Federal SPD was in a recent survey, only 16 percent. Also, the “Grand coalition” with the Union could be in danger.