The British Prime Minister Theresa May needs 320 votes in the Parliament in London, so you Brexit agreement is sure to be ratified. Roughly speaking, you have to pull around 115 members to their side, or twice as many for the abstention. Currently, the conditions in the from under the house, like this:
So the bearings are in Parliament to the Brexit
Tory loyalists (in favour) : a Minimum of 150 members from the conservative group are considered to be absolutely loyal. You have to submit in addition to their mandate Jobs in the government and they would have to vote against the agreement. 200 Tory MPs in the trust vote in the conservative group in the December behind the Prime Minister Theresa May. You can expect to be about 205 loyalty to the party friends.
Conservative Brexit-hardliners (against) : Up to 80 man strong is the so-called European Research Group is the eccentric backbencher Jacob Rees-Mogg. How many members of Parliament from this group will certainly be voting ‘no’, is unclear. May have to drag the bulk of this group on their page, in order to have a Chance. About 20 independent EU-skeptics.
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EU-friendly Tories (half and half) : A group of about twelve members, the former attorney General Dominic Grieve is fighting for a possible close connection to the EU, or even a departure from the EU exit. In the Brexit agreement, some might see the Chance to avoid at least a hard break with the EU.
Labour loyalists (against) : head of the Labour party, Jeremy Corbyn speculates on a new election should fail, the Brexit Treaty. Around 180 MPs are expected to follow his call and against the Deal votes.
EU-friendly Labour backbenchers (against) : In the back of the benches with Labour, a strong movement has developed that calls for a second Referendum and a move away from Brexit. Around 60 parliamentarians, led by charismatic members of Chuka Umunna is expected to reject the agreement.
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Labour rebels () : Up to 20 Labour MPs might be tempted to vote for Mays Brexit agreement. Either because they themselves are convinced of the EU-exit, or because they are circles, like the MP Caroline Flint, in your choice of a great Brexit-electorate.
DUP () : The ten members of the Northern Irish Protestants, the party could be used to tip the scales. Party leader Arlene Foster, however, no doubt that her party would not support the agreement. In addition, the DUP threatening to let the government fall. The DUP will not accept any special status for Northern Ireland, as provided for in the Brexit Treaty. May is instructed since the early election in 2017 on the votes of the DUP. It is questionable whether the Northern Ireland, with further Money promised for their economically suspended in the province of purchase.
More Opposition (against) : The Scottish national party (SNP), the liberals, the Greens, the Welsh party Plaid Cymru – the smaller opposition parties together have around 50 members. Most have positioned themselves clearly against Brexit and demand a second Referendum. SNP Group leader Ian Blackford is one of the most determined critics of the agreement.
fs / DPA